• CERAWEEK
  • March 10 - 14, 2025

Paul Gruenwald

S&P Global

Global Chief Economist

Dr. Paul Gruenwald is the Chief Economist at S&P Global Ratings, leading the economic forecasting and research effort and serving as the primary spokesperson on macro-economic matters for the company. Before joining S&P Global, Paul spent five years ANZ bank as the Asia-Pacific Chief Economist, where he was responsible for helping set and direct the economic research agenda as well as building the bank’s profile in the region. Prior to that, Paul worked at the International Monetary Fund for nearly 16 years where he led the team producing their Asia-Pacific regional outlook, represented the Fund in Hong Kong SAR and Korea, was the Deputy Chief of the China division, and worked on an array sovereign debt restructuring issues. Paul has a Ph.D. in Economics from Columbia University in New York and a bachelor’s degree in Economics from the University of Texas at Austin.

Sessions With Paul Gruenwald

Monday, 18 March

  • 07:30pm - 09:00pm (CST) / 19/mar/2024 12:30 am - 19/mar/2024 02:00 am

    Global Economy: Smooth or rough landing

    Markets Fundamentals

    The global economy is in a fragile state. Inflation rates around the world appear to have peaked, but policymakers still face a difficult task of further tamping down inflation without tipping economies into recessions. Are we on a path to a soft landing or a recession? Have policymakers brought inflation under control? When will central banks start to loosen monetary policy? What are the top challenges facing major economies around the world? What are the structural trends impacting the American, Chinese and Indian economies?   

Friday, 22 March

  • 10:40am - 11:20am (CST) / 22/mar/2024 03:40 pm - 22/mar/2024 04:20 pm

    America and the World: The new map of geopolitics

    Policy & Regulatory

    The U.S. and the world are increasingly polarized. America’s internal polarization raises questions about its dependability as a friend and ally. What does this mean for America’s global standing, its national interests and its ability to influence international policy? As the international order frays, what will replace it? What do demographics tell us about future centers of power and disarray? How will the U.S. cope with transnational challenges such as immigration? What can we predict about the future of economic and political power—and the role of America in the new map of geopolitics?