Since 2013 the global oil market has been in a cycle of supply surplus, with prices falling five out of the past seven years. The Vienna Alliance has entered a fourth year of production restraint just as a cast of non-OPEC countries is beginning a period of production growth, offsetting decelerating gains from the United States. And now the impact of the coronavirus is leading to the first quarterly decline in world oil demand since the 2008/09 financial crisis. What is the outlook for the oil market as China begins to recover?